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The researchers' models assume platform operators can tell the difference between factual and fictitious posts. They demonstrate that engagement levels fall when users aren't warned of posts that contain misinformation-to levels lower than when users are discouraged from clicking on the dubious material.
In the researchers' models, clicks fell by more than half when platforms had a "no-intervention" policy. But while the models initially assumed that users were relatively indifferent to misinformation, when users were in fact concerned about engaging with erroneous content, failing to intervene led to an even greater drop in engagement, with the number of clicks dwindling to zero. The research also explored a sample of 4,039 de-identified Facebook users, created as part of a larger network analysis project at Stanford. The Stanford team collected information, including connections, from volunteer Facebook users.
"If the platform does not show any effort to help agents discern accurate content from inaccurate, i.e., uses a no-intervention mechanism, significant reduction in engagement can be expected," Candogan and Drakopoulos write.
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This would apply to Facebook, where the average user has 338 friends and the median has just 200, according to the company. Twitter is even more extreme. One analyst estimated in 2013 that the median Twitter user had just one follower, compared with millions for pop star Beyoncé and US President Donald Trump.
They suggest that further studies might look into trade-offs between promoting truth and promoting engagement in a dystopic scenario: where no one-neither networks nor users-knows what news is fake and what is real.
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